Post by account_disabled on Feb 15, 2024 11:27:14 GMT 1
The third factor is precisely that the costs of protest increase even more in a regime in the process of autocratization. Even before the Boluarte government Peruvian democracy was weak but it had mechanisms to limit the level of repression and control power. It was unthinkable that the murder of people in social protests would occur as it did and even more so without any political cost. of powers has created a climate of high impunity. The government can massacre imprison prosecute assault universities criminalize solidarity and censor criticism without consequences.
Not even the complaints reflected in more than a dozen reports Venezuela Email List international organizations have managed to improve accountability. Potential protesters read this as too high a cost discouraging not only participation in marches but also the emergence of visible leadership. This feeling of fear characterizes authoritarianism a type of fear similar to that felt in Nicaragua or Venezuela. This is a clear contrast with Guatemala where the ruling corrupt pact decided not to use violence to repress protests.
Finally uncertainty about the future is also relevant. Although according to data from December out of Peruvians still prefer early elections there is also the perception that early elections will bring a president worse than Boluarte. Or that the current troubled river brings profit for eventual radical leaders perhaps still unknown from the right or the left. That is to say there is little expectation that the protests will make way for a better future. And economic uncertainty is added to the political uncertainty. The recession has raised concerns about the costs of blockades or strikes that would come with a new protest campaign. This also divides the opposition a large sector does not see these costs as a reliable investment.